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Moderna — Q3 2026 Earnings Explained simply: where the money came from, and where it went

Q3 2026 · Quarter ended 2026-09-30
Reported 2026-11-06

Moderna swung back to a profit on 29% revenue growth, but the profit is thin and the cost cuts did as much work as the sales rebound — and the fat cash balance came from a $3 billion convertible-note raise, not from operations.

Revenue$1,313MEPS (GAAP)$0.38Gross margin75.8%Cash & investments$8.0B

Follow the money, left → right. Hover or tap any block or band to trace where that money comes from and where it goes. Tap a block to pin it and read what it means below. Tap the background to reset.

Revenue

In plain English

This quarter

Follow $100 of revenue

Charts in billions are hard to feel. Here is the same quarter, shrunk down: for every $100 Moderna took in, this is where it went.

Net product sales
$96.95
Other revenue
$3.05
Cost of sales
−$24.22
R&D
−$44.40
SG&A
−$21.48
Interest income
$4.72
Other expense
−$1.60
Tax
−$0.69
Kept as profit
$12.34

The striking thing: R&D eats $44 of every $100 — more than four times the operating profit it leaves behind. Moderna is still a research company that happens to sell vaccines, not a vaccine company with a research arm.

Three things to take away

If you only remember three numbers from this quarter, make it these.

+29%

Back in the black — but read the fine print

Net income of $162M vs a $200M loss a year ago. The swing came from two directions at once: revenue up 29% and R&D down 27%. Either alone wouldn't have done it.

15–25%

Guidance went up everywhere it matters

Full-year revenue growth 15–25% (was up to 10%), R&D cut to ~$2.7B, year-end cash $8.1–8.3B (was $4.7–5.2B). Management is signaling the turnaround is real, not one good quarter.

−42%

The pipeline is the story now

Positive Phase 3 data for intismeran (Moderna's personalized cancer vaccine with Merck's Keytruda: 42% lower risk of melanoma recurrence or death) plus FDA approval of mFLUSIVA, a seasonal flu vaccine — Moderna's fifth approved product. The next chapter is oncology, not COVID.

One-time items to know about

Things that make this quarter look different from a normal one — so you don't mistake them for the trend.

  • The 2026 full-year cost-of-sales outlook (~$1.7B) includes a ~$0.9B non-recurring litigation-settlement charge booked earlier in 2026 — it is not in Q3's $318M, but it is why the 9-month cost of sales ($1,366M) looks so much bigger than last year's ($416M). The $950M cash payment for that settlement went out in Q3.
  • On October 28, 2026, Moderna and GSK settled all pending disputes in the U.S. and Europe with patent cross-licenses — no payments of any kind under that deal.
  • In September, Moderna raised ~$2.6B net from a ~$3.0B convertible-notes offering (after capped-call costs). That financing — not operations — is the main reason cash jumped from $6.9B (June 30) to $8.0B (September 30). Nine-month operating cash flow is still negative at −$2,715M, and the 9-month net loss is −$1,963M: the Q3 profit does not make the year profitable.